A humanitarian disaster is looming in Madagascar with aid agencies warning that up to 400,000 people face food shortages caused by drought, floods and a recent political crisis.

The trouble began in December 2001 after a controversial presidential election. Charging incumbent President Ratsiraka with vote manipulation and fraud, Marc Ravalomanana appointed himself president, creating a political divide between supporters of the two candidates. A recount of the votes in April indeed confirmed a victory for Ravalomanana but Ratsiraka has refused to step down. Setting up an opposition stronghold in Tamatave, the deposed leader led an often-violent protest until finally fleeing to France in June 2002. In December 2002 fresh elections resulted in broad support (and much-needed legitamacy) to Ravalomanana's presidency.

As a result of the trouble, several bridges to Antananarivo were blown up, and up to 100 people were killed. Groups still loyal to Ratsiraka operate in regional areas and some roads remain blockaded.

Despite the situation slowly returning to normal, travellers are advised to exercise extreme caution in Madagascar. Solo travel and travel anywhere at night is to be avoided.